Evaluation of the epidemiological aspects and the impact of COVID-19 on tuberculosis notifications in São Paulo

Objective: This study aimed to analyze the incidence and epidemiological profile of tuberculosis (TB) cases registered in a region of the State of São Paulo (SP) and to assess the impact of COVID19 on TB incidence and completeness of notifications. Methods: This is a retrospective crosssectional study analyzing reports of adult patients with TB, who were notified in the TB-Web from January 2010 to December 2020. Sociodemographic (e.g. sex, race and scholarity) and clinical variables (e.g., clinical form, types of cases and comorbidities) were collected and analyzed. The completeness of TB notifications and the impact of COVID-19 on TB notifications were evaluated, considering the year of 2020. The study was reported following Strengthening the Reporting of Observational Studies in Epidemiology (STROBE) checklist for cross-sectional studies [CAAE 33166620.0.0000.0102]. Results: A total of 1,509 notifications were included, with a mean incidence of 48.5/100,000 inhabitants. The median age was 42 years, most notification included males (71%), were of white race (42%) and had the pulmonary form of TB (85%). In assessing the impact of the pandemic on notifications in 2020, there was a decrease of 36% in the number of TB notifications, with an emphasis between July and August, which was the peak period of COVID-19 cases in the region. No change in the completeness of TB notifications was observed in this period. Conclusions: Results indicate the clinical and epidemiological profile in a region of SP between 2010 and 2020. The pandemic led to a decrease in the number of TB notifications but did not change the completeness of notifications.

Análise de impacto orçamentário: uma revisão prática de conceitos e aplicações para o gestor / Budget impact analysis: a practical review of concepts and applications for the manager

Avaliações econômicas em saúde são essenciais para a tomada de decisão de gestores, visto que as inovações no setor nem sempre podem ser incorporadas conforme as expectativas dos usuários e da indústria. Logo, a análise de impacto orçamentário (AIO), uma das principais ferramentas da avaliação de tecnologias em saúde (ATS), permite aos gestores estimar o potencial número de indivíduos elegíveis para determinada tecnologia ao longo dos anos, prever quanto será necessário gastar para incorporar a tecnologia ou, eventualmente, se haverá economia nos cofres do pagador com a inclusão dela. Com a crescente publicação de artigos científicos sobre AIO no Brasil, surge a preocupação a respeito da qualidade metodológica desses estudos. O objetivo desta revisão é apresentar recomendações-chave para a elaboração de uma AIO adequada e expor a utilidade prática da AIO para a tomada de decisão de gestores de saúde por meio da análise de quatro estudos publicados. O formato de apresentação de uma AIO possibilita rápido entendimento e possui atributos que permitem evidenciar o maior valor de produtos e serviços de saúde junto aos tomadores de decisão em saúde, contribuindo para as melhores escolhas do ponto de vista clínico e econômico, nos sistemas público e privado. Porém, cabe ressaltar que alguns estudos ainda carecem de evidências de mundo real ou dados epidemiológicos para as estimativas e trabalham de maneira insuficiente as ferramentas para a redução de incertezas paramétricas.

Health economics evaluations are essential for decision makers, since innovations can not always be incorporated according to expectations of users and industry. Therefore, the Budget Impact Analysis (BIA), one of the main tools in Health Technology Assessment (HTA), allows managers to estimate the potential number of individuals eligible for a given technology over the years, to predict how much it will be necessary to spend for incorporate the technology or, eventually, whether there will be savings in the payer's coffers with the inclusion of the same. With the growing publication of scientific articles on BIA in Brazil, there is concern about the methodological quality of these studies. The objective of this review is to present key recommendations to elaborate an adequate BIA, commenting on four published studies, aiming to expose the practical utility of BIA for health managers. The presentation format of the BIA provides a quick understanding and has attributes that allows evidence of the highest value of health products and services among health decision makers, contributing to the best clinical and economic choices in public and private health systems. However, it should be noted in some studies there is still a lack of real-world evidence or epidemiological data for the estimates and insufficient using of tools to reduce parametric uncertainties.

Quality of evidence of anti-obesity pharmacotherapy: an overview of systematic reviews

The safety and effectiveness of main anti-obesity drugs are controversial, and there is no consensus among regulatory agencies regarding anti-obesity drugs. We undertook an overview of systematic reviews (SR) of randomized controlled trials (RCT) to summarize the quality of evidence related to anti-obesity drugs. Data sources included Medline, Scopus, The Cochrane Library and PROSPERO. Twenty-one SR (564 RCT; average of 2,356 participants per review) satisfied the inclusion criteria. Ten SR presented a high level of heterogeneity, and only five SR included sensitivity analyses. The most important limitations reported by the SR were a high level of attrition, a small sample size, and a short follow-up. Eight different outcomes for efficacy were used, 15 different outcomes for biomarkers were used, and nine different outcomes for safety were used. Conclusions: In conclusion, the quality of SR pertaining to anti-obesity drugs is low, and these reviews have a high level of heterogeneity. Future SR should present more detailed population inclusion criteria, larger sample sizes, and focus variables reported in a predefined anti-obesity core outcome set.(AU)

Prescription errors and associated factors in patients with oncologic and hematologic diseases in a tertiary hospital

Medication errors extend inpatient stay, increase costs and double the risk of death. Identify patients more likely to present prescription errors would be one manner that could be used to decrease the impact of such events. Thus, the present study identified the prevalence of prescription errors with patients with oncohematologic diseases and the factors associated with these events. Methods: A cross-sectional study was performed in a Brazilian tertiary hospital. Data regarding service, patients and their clinical condition, drug therapy and prescription errors were retrieved and analyzed. Results: Of 344 drug prescriptions identified, 26.2% showed at least one prescription error, mainly involving a wrong drug (48.3%). According to the logistic regression, the factors associated with errors include: presence of neutropenia OR 1.92 (95% CI 1.10­3.35), physicians on holiday or weekend shifts OR 0.40 (95% CI 0.18­0.86) and prescriptions with higher proportion of parenteral administration route OR 1.05 (95% CI 1.03­1.08). Conclusion: In conclusion, identify the factors associated with errors can be useful in developing clinical tools for predicting patients at higher risk for the occurrence of prescribing errors, as well as to contribute to the optimization of health professionals' clinical performance.(AU)

Systematic review and meta-analysis of the efficacy and safety of amfepramone and mazindol as a monotherapy for the treatment of obese or overweight patients

The aim of this study was to evaluate efficacy and safety of amfepramone, fenproporex and mazindol as a monotherapy for the treatment of obese or overweight patients. A systematic review of primary studies was conducted, followed by a direct meta-analysis (random effect) and mixed treatment comparison. Medline and other databases were searched. Heterogeneity was explored through I2 associated with a p-value. Of 739 identified publications, 25 were included in the meta-analysis. The global evaluation of Cochrane resulted in 19 studies with a high level of bias and six with unclear risk. Due to the lack of information in primary studies, direct meta-analyses were conducted only for amfepramone and mazindol. Compared to placebo, amfepramone resulted in higher weight loss in the short-term (<180 days; mean difference (MD) -1.281 kg; p<0.05; I2: 0.0%; p=0.379) and long-term (≥180 days; MD -6.518 kg; p<0.05; I2: 0.0%; p=0.719). Only studies with long-term follow up reported efficacy in terms of abdominal circumference and 5-10% weight reduction. These results corroborated the finding that the efficacy of amfepramone is greater than that of placebo. Treatment with mazindol showed greater short-term weight loss than that with placebo (MD -1.721 kg; p<0.05; I2: 0.9%; p=0.388). However, metabolic outcomes were poorly described, preventing a meta-analysis. A mixed treatment comparison corroborated the direct meta-analysis. Considering the high level of risk of bias and the absence of important published outcomes for anti-obesity therapy assessments, this study found that the evaluated drugs showed poor evidence of efficacy in the treatment of overweight and obese patients. Robust safety data were not identified to suggest changes in their regulatory status.

A cost-effectiveness analysis of two different antimicrobial stewardship programs

Abstract There is a lack of formal economic analysis to assess the efficiency of antimicrobial stewardship programs. Herein, we conducted a cost-effectiveness study to assess two different strategies of Antimicrobial Stewardship Programs. A 30-day Markov model was developed to analyze how cost-effective was a Bundled Antimicrobial Stewardship implemented in a university hospital in Brazil. Clinical data derived from a historical cohort that compared two different strategies of antimicrobial stewardship programs and had 30-day mortality as main outcome. Selected costs included: workload, cost of defined daily doses, length of stay, laboratory and imaging resources used to diagnose infections. Data were analyzed by deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analysis to assess model's robustness, tornado diagram and Cost-Effectiveness Acceptability Curve. Bundled Strategy was more expensive (Cost difference US$ 2119.70), however, it was more efficient (US$ 27,549.15 vs 29,011.46). Deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analysis suggested that critical variables did not alter final Incremental Cost-Effectiveness Ratio. Bundled Strategy had higher probabilities of being cost-effective, which was endorsed by cost-effectiveness acceptability curve. As health systems claim for efficient technologies, this study conclude that Bundled Antimicrobial Stewardship Program was more cost-effective, which means that stewardship strategies with such characteristics would be of special interest in a societal and clinical perspective.

Efficacy and safety of biologics in the treatment of moderate to severe psoriasis: a comprehensive meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials / Eficácia e segurança de agentes biológicos no tratamento da psoríase moderada a grave: uma meta-análise de ensaios clínicos randomizados e controlados / Eficacia y seguridad de los agentes biológicos en el tratamiento de la psoriasis moderada a severa: un metaanálisis de ensayos aleatorios y controlados

We conducted a systematic review and metaanalysis of randomized placebo-controlled trials in moderate-to-severe psoriasis treated with biological agents, with a follow-up of 10-14 weeks. Overall, 41 studies, with mean Jadad score of 4.4, and 15,586 patients were included. For the efficacy outcomes PASI 50, 75 and 90 our findings are not conclusive to point what biological agent has the greatest response in short term follow-up. There were no statistical differences between placebo and biologics for the occurrence of infections and serious adverse events. Ustekinumab 45mg showed lower withdrawal due to adverse events compared with the placebo. Based on data available up to now, it is not possible to determine which biological agent is the best for PASI 50, 75 or 90 after 10-14 weeks of treatment. At the same follow-up, overall safety seems to be the same for all biological agents and Ustekinumab 45mg the most well tolerated drug. To better understand efficacy and safety, indirect meta-analysis comparing drug-to-drug is required since randomized placebo-controlled trials may not be feasible.

Conduziu-se uma revisão sistemática e metaanálise de ensaios clínicos randomizados em pacientes com psoríase moderada a grave, tratados com biológicos ou placebo por 10 a 14 semanas. Foram incluídos 41 estudos, com escore de Jadad médio de 4,4, totalizando 15.586 pacientes. Para os desfechos de eficácia PASI 50, 75 e 90 os resultados não são conclusivos para definir qual é o melhor agente biológico no curto prazo. Não houve diferença estatística entre placebo e biológicos para ocorrência de infecções e eventos ad-versos sérios. Ustequinumabe 45mg foi o biológico com menor ocorrência de descontinuação por conta de eventos adversos. Baseado na evidência até então disponível, não é possível determinar qual agente biológico é o melhor para se atingir resposta PASI 50, 75 e 90 após 10-14 semanas de tratamento. Para o mesmo intervalo, a segurança global parece ser a mesma para todos os biológicos e ustequinumabe 45mg o tratamento melhor tolerado. Para melhor compreender a eficácia e segurança, meta-análise indireta comparando droga-a-droga são necessárias já que ensaios clínicos randomizados podem não ser viáveis.

Se realizó una revisión sistemática y metaanálisis de ensayos controlados aleatorios en pacientes con psoriasis moderada a severa tratados con biológicos o placebo por 10-14 semanas. Se incluyeron 41 estudios con una puntuación de Jadad de 4,4, un total de 15.586 pacientes. Para variables de eficacia PASI 50, 75 y 90, los resultados no son concluyentes para definir cuál es el mejor agente biológico en el corto plazo. No hubo diferencia estadística entre el placebo y la ocurrencia biológica de las infecciones y los eventos adversos graves. Ustequinumabe 45mg fue el biológico con una menor incidencia de la interrupción debido a eventos adversos. Basado en la evidencia disponible hasta el momento, no es posible determinar qué agente biológico es lograr la mejor respuesta PASI 50, 75 y 90 después de 10-14 semanas de tratamiento. Para el mismo período, la seguridad global parece ser el mismo para todos los tratamientos y ustequinumabe 45mg el mejor tolerado. Para comprender mejor la eficacia y seguridad, es necesario un metaanálisis indirecto comparando medicamento a medicamento.

Análise de custo-utilidade do tratamento adjuvante de câncer de cólon estádio III (Dukes C) / Análisis coste-utilidad del tratamiento adyuvante del cáncer de colon enestádio III (Dukes C) / Cost-utility analysis in adjuvant treatment of colon cancer staging III (Dukes C)

Introdução: O aumento do repasse financeiro ao tratamento adjuvante de câncer de cólon estádio II nos hospitaisintegrantes do Sistema Único de Saúde permite a utilização de quimioterápicos anteriormente não empregados.Entretanto, não há estudos farmacoeconômicos que norteiem gestores quanto à escolha da terapia. Objetivo: Avaliar a relação custo-utilidade das terapias adjuvantes Fluorouracil/Leucovorin (5FU/LV, Mayo Clinic Regimen) versusCapecitabina e 5FU/LV versus Fluorouracil/Leucovorin/Oxaliplatina (FLO X) para câncer de cólon em estádio II na perspectiva de um hospital público no Brasil. Método: Dados de eficácia foram extraídos da literatura e custos a partir do Sistema de Informação Hospitalar da referida instituição. Utilizou-se uma modelagem de Markov com dez ciclos de seis meses com quatro estados de saúde: terapia com antineoplásico, livre de doença, recidiva e morte. A taxa de desconto aplicada foi de 5%. Os custos foram expressos em Real (R$) e o desfecho em meses de vida ajustados pelaqualidade (QAL M). Realizou-se análise de sensibilidade univariada. Resultados: Capecitabina e FLO X proporcionam0,33 e 1,75 QALM a mais que 5FU/LV, respectivamente. A comparação Capecitabina e 5FU/LV mostrou relaçãocusto-efetividade incremental (RCEI ) de R$13.585,64/QALM, enquanto a comparação FLO X e 5FU/LV RCEIde R$1.007,92/QALM. A análise de sensibilidade sugere resultados robustos. Conclusão: O custo de aquisição da Capecitabina inviabiliza o uso em pacientes com câncer de cólon estádio III na perspectiva avaliada. O custo incremental de FLO X está compreendido pelo repasse financeiro do SUS, favorecendo sua incorporação como terapia adjuvante de câncer de cólon estádio II pelo hospital aos indivíduos elegíveis para esse protocolo